{"id":411,"date":"2026-05-18T09:34:38","date_gmt":"2026-05-18T09:34:38","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/usrelocationpost.com\/?p=411"},"modified":"2026-05-18T09:34:38","modified_gmt":"2026-05-18T09:34:38","slug":"thomas-massies-chances-of-winning-primary-plunge-on-eve-of-election-day","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/usrelocationpost.com\/?p=411","title":{"rendered":"Thomas Massie\u2019s Chances of Winning Primary Plunge on Eve of Election Day"},"content":{"rendered":"

Representative Thomas Massie\u2019s chances of winning against Trump-backed challenger Ed Gallrein in the Republican primary for Kentucky\u2019s 4th Congressional District have plunged one day before the election.<\/p>

Read more Bill Cassidy Takes Swipes at Donald Trump in Concession Speech<\/a><\/p>

Early Monday, Massie, who had previously been the favorite on prediction markets, slipped down to a 43 percent chance of victory on both Kalshi and Poloymarket, down from 61 percent and 56 percent respectively on Saturday, as in-person early voting ended. \u00a0<\/p>

Newsweek <\/em>has contacted Massie\u2019s campaign outside regular working hours for comment via email.<\/p>

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\n
\"Representative<\/figure>\n<\/div>
…<\/span><\/span><\/div><\/div><\/div>

Few Republicans have aggravated President Donald Trump as much as Massie, who has been at odds with him over the Department of Justice\u2019s handling of the Jeffrey Epstein files and foreign policy issues.<\/p>

Trump has regularly derided Massie on social media and endorsed Gallrein, a farmer and former Navy SEAL. The president\u2019s endorsements have long carried significant influence in Republican primaries, and this primary will be a test of his grip on the party even as his approval rating has slipped among some other voter groups.<\/p>

Read more Thousands in New York, Maryland, California To Stay Inside Over Air Quality<\/a><\/p>

This is a developing story. More to follow.<\/em><\/p><\/article>","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"

The Kentucky Republican’s chances of winning his primary against a Trump-backed challenger have slipped sharply on prediction markets.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":409,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[2],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-411","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-news"],"yoast_head":"\nThomas Massie\u2019s Chances of Winning Primary Plunge on Eve of Election Day - US Relocation Post<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/usrelocationpost.com\/?p=411\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"Thomas Massie\u2019s Chances of Winning Primary Plunge on Eve of Election Day - 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